The Strategy - SPORTS BETTING MATRIX

With the explosion of sports betting opportunities around the country, there’s quite a number of strategies you can employ to try to profit at the end of the day/week/month/year.

Let’s do some math first.

Let’s use HEADS and TAILS in our example. Flipping a coin once, the chances of heads or tails landing is 1:2. Each and every subsequent flip of the coin remains 1:2, each and every time. Now lets do a two-flip parlay. You need to guess your parlay (1. Heads-Heads, 2. Heads-Tails, 3. Tails-Heads, 4. Tails-Tails). Your chances are 1:4 of guessing right. Conversely, the chances that at least one of the two flips is right in the two-flip sequence is 3:4.

Spelled out: If your two-flip parlay, before flipping, was 1. Heads-Heads, you win with sequence (1) and lose with sequences 2,3 and 4. If you win guessing one of the two flips, you’d win (Sequence 1 on the first toss Heads-Heads, Sequence 2 on the first toss Heads-Tails, Sequence 3 on the second toss Tails-Heads and lose the 4th sequence (Tails-Tails). The long-term average you will hit the parlay 25% of the time and hit at least once, 75% of the time.

Let’s take it one step further. Now let’s guess a three-flip parlay. You have eight choices. 1. HHH, 2. HHT, 3. HTH, 4. THH, 5. THT, 6. TTH, 7. HTT, 8. TTT. Only one will win the parlay so you have a 1:8 chance of winning. But let’s say you win with just one of the three flips correct. We’ll take sequence 1, the HHH parlay. Here you would win sequence 1. First flip, 2. First flip, 3. First flip, 4. Second flip, 5. Second flip, 6. Third flip and 7. First flip. You have a 7:8 chance of winning! The long-term average you will hit the parlay 12.5% of the time and hit at least once 87.5% of the time.

So the rest of the math for our purposes:

4-flip parlay, 1:16 to win the parlay, 15:16 to hit at least once. (6.25% chance of winning the parlay, 93.75% chance you’ll hit at least once)

5-flip parlay, 1:32 to win the parlay, 31-32 to hit at least once. (3.12% chance of winning the parlay, 96.88% chance you’ll hit at least once)

6-flip parlay, 1:64 to win the parlay, 63:64 to hit at least once. (1.56% chance of winning the parlay, 98.44% chance you’ll hit at least once)

7-flip parlay, 1:128 to win the parlay, 127:128 to hit at least once. (0.78% chance of winning the parlay, 99.22% chance you’ll hit at least once)

8-flip parlay, 1:256 to win the parlay, 255:256 to hit at least once. (0.39% chance of winning the parlay, 99.61% chance you’ll hit at least once)

9-flip parlay, 1:512 to win the parlay, 511:512 to hit at least once. (0.19% chance of winning the parlay, 99.81% chance you’ll hit at least once)

When it comes to sports wagering, if you bet equal amounts on every wager, you will lose over time. No doubt about it. You will lose. Betting to win 10 and losing 11, day in and day out, is a wallet buster! Sooner or later, you must raise your limits after losing to compensate for the juice and the deficit if you have been losing.

Winning and losing streaks are similar to a roller coaster. You won’t win past a certain time before losing happens and you won’t lose past a certain time before winning happens. The more you bet, the more your overall winning/losing percentage will be closer to that 50-50 result.

The number one premise we are trying to exploit is we are given (a perceived) opportunity of 50-50 odds. How do we mathematically take a 50-50 embedded percentage and turn it into a profit?

We now want to introduce the Matrix Betting Strategy. We’re all familiar with the Martingale system. It’s easy to understand but doesn’t compensate for lengthy losing streaks and maximum wager ceilings.

Let’s do a comparative side-by-side analysis between the Martingale system vs. the Matrix strategy.

Let’s say you are sitting at a blackjack table, and you make a $5 bet. You go on to lose your first six bets, doubling up after every loss. On the Matrix table that would be going down column 1 (A-F). You’d be in the hole (5, 10, 20, 40, 80, 160 for a total of $315) Your seventh bet would be $320 to profit the original $5 after covering the first $315 in losses. If the streak continued, you’d slowly (if not quickly) reach table limits and then you’d be really stuck.

What is a SPORTS BETTING MATRIX ?

In Matrix Betting we work horizontally, not vertically. The first six bets work across Level A (1-16) $5 per bet. After six straight losses to start, you would be down $30 (compared to $315) and you’d continue to bet $5 through A16. If you lost all A level wagers, you’d only be down $80. Start at Level B with higher unit values than Level 1 wagers.

The theory is that your overall 50-50 probability record will be realized when you’re betting the higher tiered wagers. To get there, you’ll realize winning percentages on a daily basis that will bring you back to the 50-50 winning percentage. If you falter early, the idea is to not try to get it all back at once. Continue the horizontal thread and complete the array before increasing bets on level 2.

Please note, for best results, bet one play (A1) when starting a new matrix. If you win (which should be half the time) keep playing one bet at A1 (with a new matrix) until you lose and need to proceed through the Level A (1-16) array.

A10

A11

A12

A13

A14

A15

A16

B10

B11

B12

B13

B14

B15

B16

C10

C11

C12

C13

C14

C15

C16

D10

D11

D12

D13

D14

D15

D16

E10

E11

E12

E13

E14

E15

E16

F10

F11

F12

F13

F14

F15

F16

G10

G11

G12

G13

G14

G15

G16

H10

H11

H12

H13

H14

H15

H16

I10

I11

I12

I13

I14

I15

I16

Your matrix can be smaller or larger but the smaller the matrix, the more aggressive the betting.

The idea is to profit every day. Although we can’t come close to doing that, the next transgression would be to win more than you lose. Simple enough but how do we accomplish that?

Some sports betting knowledge. You should know what’s going on.
A little bit of math skills will help as well.
Discipline and patience
Don’t get greedy
Accept losing. It’ll happen nearly 50% of the time.
Plan and strategize in advance.
Quit whenever you’re ahead, including cents on the dollar.

Rules of Engagement to Matrix betting:

If there ever was a time in the matrix that you’ll want to bet a heavy favorite, it would be the first game (A1) of the new matrix. Go at it and win what you can! You win, you start over. (You can play more the first day, A2, maybe A3, but do it early in the matrix count.
We bet equal amounts per unit. Matrix betting is best when you bet a unit like $5, not $5.50. Just bet a solid number across the board. A1 through A16. That extra “pre-juice” can add up quickly on the back end of round three (C1-16) and round four bets (D1-16) if we ever get to that level.
Bets after A1 should never be more than -120. There are exceptions (to everything) but overall, nothing more expensive. Betting underdogs, all the power to you. Take dogs as much as you can. We are dog friendly here at the Matrix. Exceptions being that a heavier price returns enough to profit in your matrix to start over.
Use the entire row from 1-16 before advancing to level B. With 16 games per row, there’s plenty of time to recover from early losses before advancing to the next tier.
Map out the day. The best opportunity to win, on a daily basis, is to bet one game at a time, get the results, then play or discontinue (if you win or are ahead) at that point. Give yourself time between games. Last second surprises can alter a day significantly. We list our plays in advance with plenty of time in-between.
You are not trying to get out of a hole in one or two days. Be content with a small win and wait for the next day to begin again. Pocket the win.
If you’re battling a matrix and just can’t get ahead throughout a few complete rounds, consider a loss and start over. There’s no way we can expect to win every time and it will only take a little time to get it back. Patience, discipline. There’s always tomorrow.
If, however, after you went through the entire A level and are less than one unit from breaking even, don’t hike your bets up starting with level B. It will only take one unit to show a profit and you’ll safeguard against a bad run at a higher level. This is NOT about how much you win, it’s about cutting down risk and taking whatever profit, then starting over.